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Rams vs Packers: Comparative Analysis

There are 4 key stats that I’d like to look at to analyze the match up between the Rams and the Packers. They are all per game averages. And although each team has only played 2 games this season, I think these stats are relevant and insightful. In 3 of the 4 stats the Rams match up rather well.

The first is average rushing yards per game. The Rams actually lead the Packers in this category. 2009 YTD Rams rushing per game is 101.5, while the Packers come in at a lowly 82.5. The key contributors are Steven Jackson for the Rams and Ryan Grant and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers (QB Rodgers actually has more rushing yards than their #1 running back). Neither average is exemplary, but they are comparable.

The second is average receiving yards per game. In this category the Rams are upstaged by the Packers. The Packers average 186 yards per game, while the Rams have meeked out 144 yards per game. The main contributors for the Packers are Donald Driver and Greg Jennings. Both have an average of less than 70 yards receiving per game and each has contributed a single touchdown. The Rams have a single receiver, Laurent Robinson, who is pretty much right on that mark (70 yards per game avg). He also has a single touch down. Other than Robinson, no other Rams receiver has an average greater than 30 yards per game. This stat leans towards the Packers, but again they are fairly comparable.

The third stat or number I’d like to look at is sacks. For years I have been hearing, “leave Marc Bulger alone. If he had a good front line then he would be a much better quarter back.” Ok, this might have been true at some point, but not this year. Bulger looks like a frazzled and haggard QB, but according to the stats, he has only been sacked 4 times this year.

Aaron Rodgers has been sacked 10 times. This year Bulger has completed 32 of 64 passes (50%) for 316 yards. This is who he is right now. No excuses. Rodgers has completed 38 of 67 passes (56.7%) for a total of 445 yards. The bottom line here is that one QB passed for 50% and the other 57%. Again, these teams are pretty comparable. (This category indicates better QB-ing for the Packers and better offensive protection by the Rams.)

The fourth and final stat/number I’d like to look at is average points scored per game. The Packers have scored 22.5 points on average per game. This is a respectable 11th place in the NFL. The Rams on the other hand have scored a whopping 3.5 points per game (0 in week 1 and 7 in week 2). Why is this? Three other key indicators point to the fact that these two teams are very much alike.

I think it comes down to one incredibly important factor. The Rams need to learn how to win. Period! End of discussion! They are not a bad team. They may not be super bowl ready, but they are a good team. The Rams showed a very tough defense this past week against the Redskins. They have an experienced QB, a super star running back, and a rebuilt O-line. Yet, they have looked terrible. Rams listen up, “YOU ARE WINNERS!” Take it to the house baby.

I think that is why Mike Singletary has had early success with the SF 49ers. He is a winner. He has brought a winning attitude to that organization. If it was me… I’d send in a team of sports psychologists. I would create some kind of mind sucking mantra like “U R Winners you SOBs!” How do you spark a flame? What is the catalyst for a group epiphany? Who in the Rams organization will step up?

I think the Rams can beat the Packers, but they have got to want it.

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One Response to “Rams vs Packers: Comparative Analysis”

  1. Citizen Twenty says:

    Good strong statistical analysis…

    As far as the strong encouragement that followed..
    I hope a variety of someones on the Rams staff…
    From the top…
    To the head coach…
    To the various subheadings of coaches…
    To the starters…
    And from there, all the way down to third team players and the ‘effing ball boy…
    Are loudly saying something similar to anyone on the team that’s willing to hear it.

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