Quote of the Day

You seem to imply you think the Rams will win the NFC West this season in the book. A few things have happened since your deadline. Do you still think they’re underrated?

Well, first of all, I don’t think we imply the Rams will win the NFC West. I think we’re pretty clear that we think that Seattle will win the NFC West. The Rams’ mean projection in the book is for 8.2 wins, compared to Seattle at 9.9 wins.

I’m concerned about the Rams’ early injuries — I mean, without Donnie Avery that team really has an unknown group of receivers, and the idea of Kyle Boller at quarterback gives me hives — but the trends that we identify in the book are still there. The strongest trend in identifying “surprise” teams is still drafting an offensive lineman in the first dozen picks, like last year’s Dolphins and the 2007 Browns. This is still a team that is likely to be much healthier and nowhere near as bad in the red zone [as last year]. The NFC West didn’t suddenly get any better over the last few weeks — Seattle’s dealing with even worse injury issues.

We know that every year some team that has been losing for a couple seasons will come out of nowhere to have a winning season. Everyone wants to figure out how to predict that team, and we’re no different. We looked closely to try to figure out what trends pointed to a team about to break out. What we’re saying is that St. Louis is the most likely team to do that this year — more likely than Buffalo or Oakland or San Francisco or Detroit or whoever else. We’re not guaranteeing a playoff spot or anything. Given how much the Rams sucked last year, they could improve significantly on both sides of the ball and still end up 7-9.

A conversation on Deadspin between Will Leitch (noted Arizona Cardinals fan) and Football Outsiders’ Aaron Schatz with some well reasoned positive material about the Rams.


Enjoyed this post?
Subscribe to Rams Gab via RSS Feed or E-mail and receive daily news updates from us!

Submit to Digg  Stumble This Story  Share on Twitter  Post on Facebook  Post on MySpace  Add to del.icio.us  Bark It Up  Submit to Reddit  Fave on Technorati

2 Responses to “Quote of the Day”

  1. […] Quote of the Day by Jeff takes a look at an interview about the NFC West Division winner this year. Football Outsiders has us with 8.2 wins this […]

  2. […] Quote of the Day by Jeff takes a look at an interview about the NFC West Division winner this year. Football Outsiders has us with 8.2 wins this […]

Leave a Reply